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07 Sept 2025

UK caught in trap of low growth and high taxes, says CBI chief

UK caught in trap of low growth and high taxes, says CBI chief

The UK is caught in a “trap” of low growth and high taxes, a senior business leader is warning the Government.

Tony Danker, director general of the CBI, says there are rising spending pressures, too much tax and too little growth.

He will tell a CBI/Centre for Policy Studies conference on Thursday that a series of measures are needed to transform economic growth.

These include replacing the apprenticeship levy with a new skills challenge fund, a 100% tax deduction for capital spending and establishing an Office for Future Regulation.

Adopting the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) forecast of 1.3% to 1.7%  growth for the coming years will not be enough to avoid permanently high taxes given spending pressures, the CBI believes.

Mr Danker will say: “The current settlement isn’t working. There are rising spending pressures, too much tax and too little growth. We’re caught in a trap.

“The Government are in a tough spot in all of this of course. They say we can’t afford to spend more on growth, but I say we can’t afford not to.

“Simply put, we will not pay down today’s debt, extend public services and reduce taxes on 1.6%.

“We get a much-needed dose of reality from the independent OBR. Their forecast is their judgment on the UK’s economic trajectory: once the rebound is complete in the next 18 months, we will grow as an economy by 1.3–1.7%. For a country that is used to growth at 2–2.5% it is simply not good enough.

“What’s truly worrying is that the Government has accepted the forecast as the target.

“Everything the Government is currently trying, to get growth going, merely achieves a new normal of low growth.

“We have lowballed the UK. It’s in our numbers, and it’s in our plans, but at the CBI, we think we can do better.”

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